Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 5.767651 6.333329 6.955722 7.696100 8.559144 9.541283 10.754942
2024-10-20 4.734787 5.454492 6.306717 7.407388 8.817517 10.602121 13.098396
2024-10-27 4.166251 4.946928 5.916155 7.239133 9.050969 11.533315 15.367515
2024-11-03 3.802488 4.621085 5.675579 7.180391 9.359060 12.557630 17.971588
2024-11-10 3.682678 4.582201 5.785745 7.585968 10.355857 14.756868 23.082099
2024-11-17 3.504249 4.439978 5.729519 7.732279 10.972612 16.484142 28.030957
2024-11-24 3.271688 4.198997 5.504275 7.587928 11.088526 17.366152 31.666514
2024-12-01 3.104059 4.033836 5.369929 7.561741 11.387532 18.639071 36.755687
2024-12-08 2.923286 3.835257 5.166762 7.398024 11.412984 19.376400 40.918621
2024-12-15 2.795249 3.704168 5.053723 7.367409 11.671295 20.653874 47.345509
2024-12-22 2.677912 3.580649 4.941503 7.323677 11.894057 21.909557 54.636117
2024-12-29 2.622165 3.545579 4.964371 7.514783 12.608617 24.527208 69.168387
2025-01-05 2.461630 3.349764 4.729299 7.247563 12.397860 24.938312 76.260275
2025-01-12 2.313058 3.166317 4.505263 6.985172 12.173397 25.308409 84.205700
2025-01-19 2.198881 3.029798 4.348501 6.830905 12.159710 26.275736 97.115885
2025-01-26 2.113038 2.932855 4.250521 6.776986 12.363252 27.975763 118.410347
2025-02-02 2.105937 2.960629 4.365371 7.148929 13.646925 33.772596 193.289415
2025-02-09 2.060221 2.922431 4.362045 7.282903 14.379835 38.186759 290.351656
2025-02-16 1.978148 2.819745 4.237123 7.150724 14.391490 39.840317 367.358103
2025-02-23 1.917677 2.749986 4.166717 7.126734 14.695162 42.959030 529.416957
2025-03-02 1.843887 2.654385 4.043498 6.976674 14.618498 44.355953 687.600322
2025-03-09 1.791463 2.592584 3.978651 6.948598 14.892617 47.699749 1097.825051
2025-03-16 1.740803 2.531477 3.911376 6.908485 15.125822 51.078793 1917.727045